BiPSA IDF R&D
Scenario Response Form

The Strategic Horizon

Rational planning for military R&D must be based on a strategic outlook of the national threat. Two opposing scenarios with a time horizon of a decade and more, are submitted for your BiPSA vote. When done please visit our tactical page

This BiPSA form is specifically constructed to develop a high-credibility estimate of issues and matters critical for planning research and development (R&D) for the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF). Qualified votes would be integrated according to the BiPSA method and presented in The Samuel Neaman Institute for Advanced Studies Conference on Military R&D, scheduled for October 18, 2006.

Any Israeli, or a friend of Israel with background and qualifications to render a thoughtful judgment on the scenarios below is welcome to cast his or her vote along with self characterization of credentials (as indicated on the form below). AGS Encryptions Ltd. the operator of this survey, reserves the right to confirm the identity of voters, and reject any respondent suspected of non bona-fide status.

Instructions : (1) Please review the scenarios below. For each scenario, please click one option per box, voting in the three sections below each scenario. (2) Please fill in the identification section, followed by the qualifications section in this form. (3) When you are done, click on the "Send to BiPSA-Samuel Neaman Conference Processing Center" icon and your vote will be sent and integrated into the summary response, which will be presented at the conference.

Your answers would be integrated into the summary response according to your qualification attributes. The integrated response to each scenario would be presented at the conference. Find out about the use of BiPSA at AGS. To learn more about the general BiPSA concept please refer to www.bipsa.com. To check out the home page of AGS Encryptions, click here.

Scenario#1: Israel as the Outpost of the West

The rising tide of militant Islam would unite the West towards a cultural war in which Israel would be seen as the outpost that must be supported. Military and economic aid would be plentiful, and the IDF R&D would be mostly collaborative with the R&D powerhouses of the West.

Scenario#2: Israel Distanced by the West

A majority in the West would conclude that there is a good chance that if Israel is curbed, minimized, and maintained at low profile then Islamic militancy would lose steam. The West would tighten the screws on the Jewish state, limit its access to resources and technology, forcing Israel to a repeat of the French embargo response in the 60's: self reliance for military R&D.

Please Vote:

The above described scenario is more likely
TO HAPPEN: ...... NOT TO HAPPEN:

The above described scenario is
HIGHLY LIKELY: ...... HIGHLY UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:

The above described scenario is
VIRTUALLY CERTAIN: ...... LIKELY:
VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE: ... UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:



Please Vote:

The above described scenario is more likely
TO HAPPEN: ...... NOT TO HAPPEN:

The above described scenario is
HIGHLY LIKELY: ...... HIGHLY UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:

The above described scenario is
VIRTUALLY CERTAIN: ...... LIKELY:
VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE: ... UNLIKELY:
NONE OF THE ABOVE:



Identification: Select: First Name: ..... Last Name:
Title/Position: ..... Organization:

Qualifications:

National Security Position: (Past or Present)

Government (civilian position): ......High Level: ......Mid Level: ......Low level: ......Non-Applicable:
Military: ......High Level: ......Mid Level: ......Low level: ......Non-Applicable:
Political: ......High Level: ......Mid Level: ......Low level: ......Non-Applicable:
Scholar: ......High Level: ......Mid Level: ......Low level: ......Non-Applicable:

Background Knowledge

Geopolitical Knowedge: ......High Level: ......Mid Level: ......Low level: ......Non-Applicable:
Military Knowledge: ......High Level: ......Mid Level: ......Low level: ......Non-Applicable:
Strategic Analysis: ......High Level: ......Mid Level: ......Low level: ......Non-Applicable:

Comments?

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BiPSA Neural Network Technology is Operated by AGS Encryptions Ltd.