Scenario#1:
Second Round With The Hezbollah Within A Year
No sooner would the Hezbollah be re-equipped, re-armed, and
re-positioned than the 'unfinished war' would re-ignite. The presence
of
the new UNIFIL, and world pressure on Israel not to re-destroy the
'under re-construction' Lebanese infrastructure would severely tie
Israel's hands.
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Scenario#2: Israel Drawn to an American-Iranian Conflict (2008)
President Bush ratcheting up the perception of Iranian threat would find
it necessary
to launch a military offensive consistent with his perceived legacy in
the Middle East. Israel would be the target of choice for Iranian
counterattack, drawing it into a vast military conflict close to the end
of the Bush presidency.
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Scenario#3: An Iranian led Shiite Crescent would challenge Israel
while an Appeasing President sits in the White House
(2010).
True to their religious fundamentalist goal, Iran would successfully
establish a Shiite crescent spanning towards Iraq and Lebanon, and
challenge Israel with sub-threshold but persistent violence, relying on
the sitting American President to limit Israel to a war of attrition
rather than an all out conflict with grave risk to
moderate Arab states.
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